There is an iPhone XS event launch on Wednesday when CEO, Tim Cook who was staged and advised the company closing the shipping with 2 billion iOS devices. With Apple-Insider who checks the numbers on seeing how the goal is and how far the iPhone is reaching the same milestone.
Close to the start hence by, it is noted by Tim Cook highlights the achievements of the company, including how Apple Stores was welcome over 500 million visitors, but the one statement which caught our eye: “A fact to note is that we are about to ship our 2 billionth iOS device.” Hence to consider the advising is that when it takes place, the typically high volume of holiday sales means it will take place sometime before the end of the year.
Thus with due consideration of the milestone achievement, it is worth crunching the numbers and examines how Apple arrived so close to the 2 billion iOS device landmark.
Thus with some ambiguity which works out as many devices as Apple sold and when is due to the way Apple reveals its shipments. Thus it does advise to show how many iPhones and iPads will make it for shipping each quarter, with the figure on the nearest thousand units, and which doesn’t take into account with iPad touch, a third iOS device with sales figures being broken out.
Hence with the second problem raised owing to the data-compilation by Apple-Insider viewing the quarterly results. Thus within data getting compiled from quarterly results is going as far back as the first quarter of 2012, meant to lack detail for the first roughly 350 million units or so shipped since launch.
With a known factor having slow sales period with the start of the iPhone’s existence, means not having too much of a problem, which gets interested in how the data appears for the second billion.
Hence with the reevaluation of Apple selling its one billionth iOS device in the December quarter of 2014, specifically on November 22 hence been referred by Cook and advised at the time, it was a Space Gray 64GB iPhone 6 Plus, where the company retained for itself.
Hence with the due factor being known about the quarter when the device getting sold, one does not really know about how many devices getting sold before or after it during the quarter, where there isn’t an exact amount to use for “post-billionth” shipments starting from. Hence with the addition of the increase in holiday sales with the end of the quarter and it becomes too difficult to reliably work out.
With the next best thing working out is how far the end of the quarter the iPhone in question was sold is hence with the proportion of iPhones as a starting point.
The quarter has hence been running from September 28 until December 27, with a total of 91 days, and November 22 was day 52, meaning there were 39 days remaining in the quarter where in because of post-billionth devices. For our purposes, now we are counting that as 43 percent of the overall shipments for the quarter, which equates to 41.2 million devices out of the 95.8 million reported for the quarter.
Thus from the point where Apple is produced its billionth iOS device has thenceforth the third quarter of 2018, ended at June 30, when Apple shipped an estimated total of 954 million iPhones and iPads.
With Cook confirming the company which closes hitting 2 billion, becomes a question of how to do so this quarter, which one won’t know the shipment figuring until they are announced in October.
Hence with the shipments being seasonal which is relatively predictable for the last few years, where one way is to guess with the most recent similar quarter’s data getting stood in. In this case, we uses Q4 2017, seeing 57 million iOS device shipments, putting the total post-billionth-device shipments over 1.01 billion at the end of the quarter, at the end of September.
The iPhone hence made up the vast majority of device shipments selling the iPad by 4.9 to 1 which is based on an average of the last four quarters. Since we have worked out long which it takes for iOS devices to reach 2 billion, is not that much of a stretch guessing how long one will take for iPhones to do the same.
A similar calculation which might be the time which uses an iPhone data being provided by Apple is as well as a different time-frame. Thus with the case, Cook who was advised during a meeting on with iPhone getting sold is sometime in the previous week.
Hence with the known factor about the third quarter resulting for that year ended on June 25 is the position of the iPhone in question to be around a quarter to a third of the way through the fourth quarter, as we are talking about it happening sometime during a week, not a specific day. Thus with argument’s sake, using two thirds of the quarter sales in our calculation is approximately around 30 million units in the period.
With the point of a billionth iPhone ending back Q3 2018, Apple shipping 417.9 million iPhones. With iPhone sales for the fourth quarter, one must know about how Apple with almost around 465 million units passed the 1.5 billion units milestone during the first quarter of 2019.
Hence with an estimate around it was upon 2 billionth iPhone which was shipped, making an educated guess for the fortunes of the iPhone. Many factors hence which could affect how well the iPhone performs in the future is impossible to say if Apple’s iPhone sales grows, contract, or stay the same long-term.
Hence the factors ranging from changes in consumer tastes to the popularity of devices hence is produced by other companies, which has legal issues affecting shipments, with currency fluctuations which affects prices, thus with how Apple innovates the future iPhone releases. With practically anything, one can affect a future iPhone sales too.
Hence with the speculation purposes, one conservatively assumes that Apple maintains the exact sales reported in the last four quarters, for the future. Thus from Q4 2017 to Q3 2018, will be having Apple with a total of 217.5 million i-Phones.
With this estimate where Apple reaches a total of 1,682 million shipments at the end of 2019 financial year, and 1,900 million shipments at the end of the 2020 financial year. Hence with the rough calculation on a place, one would be able to put up a celebration of the 2 billionth iPhone in the middle of 2021.
Thus, as this was the only guess where Apple sees improvements in iPhone sales, as it is likely, bringing the time of the 2 billionth iPhone much earlier and vice versa. With ultimately up to the consumers hence determines the market which forces with exact occurrences.